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Конкурентоспроможність національної економіки і валютний курс: оцінка впливу, прогнозування динаміки (стр. 7 из 7)

ANNOTATION

Patsenko O. J.compatibility of national economy and currency exchange rate: influence evaluation, dynamics forecasting. - Manuscript.

Dissertation for a scientific degree of the candidate of economical sciences in specialization 08.02.03. - Organization of management, planning and regulation of economy. - Institute of Economical Forecasting of NAS of Ukraine, Kyiv, 2007.

The dissertation contains theoretical generalization and new methodological approaches for national economy compatibility identification. Methodological principles concerning role and place of state regulation of economy in processes of country compatibility support in the period of its transformation and shift towards market relations are studied. Theoretically proved statement mentioning that the most important index of country compatibility is dynamics and proposal of its foreign economic trade balance, which is shown on practice as currency exchanging rate.

Methodological approaches for indices system identifying national economy compatibility are figured out and usage in this capacity of price characteristics of the national goods on the word markets and indices of economical growth, which are the object of state regulation. Theoretical statement concerning the link between currency rate and indices of national economy dynamics of growth is proved.

Approaches for currency exchanging rate monitoring on the basis of methods accepted in the statistics of national economy are proposed and tested. On the basis of this tool, some parts of which are risen to the level of methodology, currency exchanging rate model as the result characteristics of economical growths is built.

The most important component of national economy compatibility support is produced in the country NGP, level of wellbeing, foreign economical trade balance. In connection with this the recommendations concerning the usage of fixed rate of the national currency are developed, which allows managing the dynamics of national economy compatibility, reducing the risk of its loosing as the result of conditions of inner market, as well as the world state of the market change.

Key words: national economy compatibility, exchange rates, forecasting, state regulation of economy, indexes.